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- ╖¥â(╟■ ╢««All Revved Up
-
- June 22, 1987
-
- Thatcher rides again, winning a chance to finish her "revolution"
-
- Stylishly dressed, hair perfectly coiffed and wearing the inevitable
- pearl earrings, Margaret Thatcher had dropped by for yet another of
- British election organizers' much loved photo opportunities. This
- time it was a famous motorcycle manufacturer in Newton Abbot,
- Devonshire. The Prime Minister, ever the lady, would not be pushed
- into providing a spectacle for the press. "I think that would be a
- bit gimmicky, don't you?" she declared, politely declining requests
- to sit on a motorcycle or even grip the handlebars. But Thatcher is
- not one to miss such an opportunity entirely, and almost coyly she
- allowed her fingers to trace the name on the machine as photographers
- snapped away. It read TRIUMPH.
-
- The prophecy proved accurate. Last week Thatcher's Tory Partly was
- resoundingly returned to office, although with a reduced majority.
- She thus became the first Prime Minister in modern British political
- history to win three successive general elections. The country's
- 43.7 million voters,who regard her iron-willed leadership with a
- mixture of admiration and anxiety, gave the Conservatives a 101-seat
- majority in the 650-member House of Commons, 43 fewer than the party
- had won in the 1983 elections. But that was more than sufficient for
- Thatcher to pursue her "unfinished revolution" in reshaping the
- political, economic and social fabric of Britain. When she was first
- elected in 1979, the country was in such economic peril that only 2
- 1/2 years earlier it had sought a bailout loan from the International
- Monetary Fund. Today Britain is a leading creditor nation with a
- vibrant economy, a rising currency and a booming stock market that
- soared anew in response to the Tory victory. Thatcher, says London's
- SUnday Times, has brought about Britain's "biggest transformation
- since the Industrial Revolution."
-
- Under Neil Kinnock, 45, a balding, red-haired Welshman, the ever
- squabbling Labor Party managed to increase its seats in the House to
- 229 from the 209 it won in 1983, though last week's showing was still
- the party's second worst in more than a half-century. The most
- disappointed loser was the Liberal-Social Democratic Alliance, which
- had become a third force in British politics in its six years of
- existence. Led by the Liberals' David Steel and the Social
- Democrats' David Owen, the Alliance had aimed to eclipse Labor as the
- main opposition party. Instead, its representation in the House was
- reduced to 22 seats from the 23 it won in the previous election. The
- vote was a landmark in one respect: three blacks and an Indian, all
- Labor candidates, became the first nonwhites elected to the House of
- Commons since 1922.
-
- On Saturday, Thatcher named a new 21-member Cabinet. Most were
- holdovers, but there were two surprises. Norman Tebbit, the
- Conservative Party chairman who had just led the Tories to victory,
- resigned as Minister Without Portfolio. Though no reason was given,
- he reportedly wanted to spend more time with his wife, who was badly
- injured during a 1984 bombing attack by the Irish Republican Army.
- Cecil Parkinson, who resigned in 1983 in the midst of a sex scandal
- (he had fathered his secretary's child), rejoined the Cabinet as
- Energy Secretary.
-
- For Margaret Hilda Thatcher, 61, the daughter of a grocer from the
- Lincolnshire town of Grantham, the hefty Tory majority could help her
- attain the prime goal for her third term, to "destroy socialism,"
- which has been a decisive force in British life since the end of
- World War II. The election results will also enable her to continue
- with the economic policy that is now known as Thatcherism. Since she
- came to power in 1979, her policy of cutting back on inefficient
- industries and attacking inflation with tight money and reduced
- government spending has greatly expanded the middle class and
- transformed Britain from the sick man of Europe to the fastest-
- growing economic power in the European Community. "We have put the
- Great back into Britain," she repeatedly declared during the
- campaign. Last May, shortly after she called the elections 13 months
- before the end of her five-year term, she insisted, "Our country has
- changed for the better. We have discovered a new strength and a new
- pride."
-
- Many Britons see a different country, where the gap between the well-
- off of the green, leafy south and the struggling workers of much of
- the gritty, industrial north has widened under Thatcher. Indeed,
- the election results confirmed this divide, with support for Labor up
- 7% in the north and the Tories' vote rising 25% in the south. That
- schism led in large measure to the Tories' reduced representation in
- Parliament. Unemployment has increased threefold over the past eight
- years. A record 3 million Britons are without jobs today, although
- the figures have been declining for the past nine months. The health
- service and the educational system are in chaos. Said the Sunday
- Observer: "We are fast moving--in crucial areas like health and
- education--toward private affluence and public squalor."
-
- Thatcher had the good fortune to face as her main opposition a Labor
- Party still scarred by dissension. A majority of voters rejected its
- policies of increased public spending and unilateral nuclear
- disarmament. The party was committed to abandoning the British
- nuclear deterrent and seeking the removal of all U.S. cruise missiles
- and other nuclear weapons from British soil. Many Britons, including
- some Labor supporters, believe that policy would leave the country at
- the mercy of the Soviets. Kinnock seemed to admit as much when he
- told Television Interviewer David Frost that a nonnuclear Britain's
- best defense against the Soviets would be to use "all the resources
- you have got to make any [Soviet] occupation totally untenable."
- Within hours, Thatcher was accusing Kinnock of hoisting "the white
- flag of surrender." Later she told a rally, "I'm a mum, and I like
- to think that those who believe in keeping Britain strong, free and
- properly defended belong in mum's army."
-
- After the election, the Alliance's Owen joined in the criticism of
- Labor's policies. "They were unelectable and are unelectable," he
- declared. "The reason Labor has not delivered is that their policies
- stink." Owen, however, was having his own problems. The Alliance
- had counted on this election to gain a surge of new support from
- middle-of-the-road voters, but its share of the popular vote actually
- declined nearly 3 percentage points from 1983, putting its survival
- in doubt. Analysts believe the Alliance suffered because there were
- fewer uncommitted voters in this election. The two Alliance parties
- may also have lost support through their public disagreements over
- Britain's nuclear policy.
-
- The campaign was an ill-tempered four-week ordeal, with Labor's main
- hatchet man, Shadow Foreign Secretary Denis Healey, variously
- comparing the Prime Minister to Catherine the Great and Genghis Khan.
- The electorate looked on in apparent bemusement at a campaign that
- rarely sent the national pulse racing and was, American-style, fought
- out largely on television. In another imitation of U.S. campaigning,
- both major parties relied on photo opportunities, carefully
- choreographed meetings with voters, and ticket-holders-only rallies
- of the faithful.
-
- Election analysts agreed that Labor had ensured its survival as one
- of Britain's two major parties by mounting a superior campaign.
- Party strategists focused their effort on the personable Kinnock and
- his wife Glenys. Cannily avoiding the largely Tory, London-based
- press, the couple spent long periods campaigning in the provinces,
- far from London. "The style was vintage Jimmy Carter," noted a
- Western ambassador in London. Thatcher, by contrast, made the usual
- one-day campaign forays from the capital. "The Kinnocks were
- packaged with professionalism and flair," conceded a Conservative
- politician, "while most of the time we seemed to lack both."
- Thatcher occasionally stumbled, as when she was asked why she had
- taken out private medical insurance rather than relying on the
- National Health Service. She replied, "To enable me to go into
- hospital on the day I want, at the time I want, with the doctor I
- want." That led Owen to castigate her for indifference toward those
- who cannot afford the luxury of choosing between private and state
- health care.
-
- Less than 65 hours before the polls opened, Thatcher flew by private
- jet to the seven-nation Venice summit, where the televised image of
- her moving easily among major world leaders was not lost on voters.
- At his last campaign rally, Kinnock mocked the Venice trip before a
- crowd in the bleak northern city of Leeds. Said he: "And now the TV
- spectacular to end all TV spectaculars: Venice. Cinderella on
- canal. She went there because somebody told her she could walk down
- the middle of the street."
-
- That final, cocky gesture was typical of Kinnock, who entered the
- campaign with a reputation as a political lightweight. In just over
- 3 1/2 years as Labor's leader he had rarely bested Thatcher in their
- almost weekly jousts during the Prime Minister's question time in the
- House of Commons, and he had been ridiculed for his often rambling
- and emotional speeches. He was criticized by radical leftists in the
- Labor Party for moving it too far toward the center. But his
- eloquent campaign attacks against Tory parsimony won him respect as a
- warm, compassionate leader. In one crowd-pleasing piece of oratory
- last week, he evoked the meter of Welsh Poet Dylan Thomas when he
- declared there were just four more days left of "hope-destroying,
- unemploying, care-cutting, factory-shutting, nation-splitting, poor-
- hitting, truth-mangling, freedom-strangling Toryism."
-
- Perhaps the major issue in the campaign was Thatcher's dream of a
- more prosperous, more assertive Britain in contrast to Labor's view
- of a country in crisis. It was Labor, however, that had presided
- over many of the country's frequent economic crises in the 1960s and
- '70s. By the time Thatcher arrived in 1979, Britain was saddled with
- a costly welfare state in which labor-management relations were mired
- in class conflict and industry was aging and inefficient. Since
- then, Thatcher has transformed Britain more dramatically than any
- Prime Minister since Clement Attlee, who presided over the creation
- of the welfare state in the late 1940s. Her third term is likely to
- be an extension of the Thatcher revolution. Since Britain began
- pulling out of the recession in 1981, the economy has grown at an
- annual rate of around 3%, and annual productivity is growing 3.5%,
- not far behind Japan's 4%. Inflation is down to 3.5% from a high of
- 24.2% in 1975. Many Britons have prospered under Thatcher. Partly
- because of government efforts to encourage the creation of new
- companies in the services area, 1 million people have jobs that did
- not exist before Thatcher came to office. In fact, in 1979 only 30%
- of the British were considered middle class; now nearly half the
- country fits that description. And through incentives to small
- business, Thatcher has opened doors to entrepreneurs. For all that,
- some of Thatcher's countrymen clearly prefer the older Britain,
- slower paced, caring and imbued with a frayed gentility. Even some
- Conservatives have expresses concern that Thatcher has seemed callous
- toward the poor and the disadvantaged. For her part, the Prime
- Minister argues that she has turned a "lame-duck economy into a
- bulldog economy." Only vigorous growth, she insists, can support the
- level of social services Britons demand. The election, she said
- recently, was not a "choice between a caring party and an uncaring
- one. All decent people care about the sick, the unfortunate and the
- old. It is false and wicked to suggest otherwise."
-
- Still, Thatcher's major challenge in her third term will be the
- problems of poverty and joblessness. While new employment is up,
- some 2 million jobs have disappeared, mostly in coal mining, ship-
- building and other declining industries that Britain, like other
- Western countries, has been weaning away from government subsidies in
- order to force greater efficiency. Inequality has persisted, with
- half the British population now holding 93% of the country's wealth,
- down only marginally from 95% in 1979. Says Peter Townsend,
- professor of social policy at the University of Bristol: "Eight
- years of Thatcherism have resulted in a widening gap between rich and
- poor."
-
- To help narrow this gap, Thatcher has proposed a job training scheme
- for all secondary-school dropouts and, within five years, job
- training for all those under 50 who have been unemployed for two
- years. Actually finding jobs for these trainees, however, may be
- difficult. In a March poll, a majority of voters questioned said
- they would forgo the tax cuts delivered this year by the government
- if the savings were used to improve unemployment, health and
- education. Yet Thatcher is opposed to large increases in public
- spending for social programs and job creation. Her fear is that
- inflation will break loose again. The Tories prefer restraint, with
- government spending rising only 1 1/4% a year through 1991, a figure
- that could increase as the economy improves.
-
- One spread-the-wealth measure that Thatcher is expected to pursue
- vigorously is her program of "people's capitalism," under which
- state-owned companies are being sold to the public. Since 1979 more
- than one-third of Britain's nationalized industries have gone public-
- -including British Telecom, British Gas, British Airways and Rolls-
- Royce--bringing in more than $29 billion for the treasury. What
- Napoleon called a "nation of shopkeepers" has changed under Thatcher
- into a nation of shareholders. Nearly 20% of adult Britons own stock
- nowadays, triple the number in 1979. Next in line for sale: the
- British Airports Authority, regional water boards and the electricity
- industry.
-
- The Prime Minister will also encourage the sale of subsidized, local
- council-owned houses and apartments to their tenants, a program she
- began in her first term. Since then, the number of owner-occupied
- homes has risen from 50% to 66%. Her goal for the third term is 75%.
-
- Thatcher's concern for the emerging middle class contrasts with her
- distaste for organized labor. In the three decades before she took
- over, wildcat strikes had torn holes in the country's economy. Major
- trade unions were considered more powerful than the government, and
- labor unrest helped topple two Prime Ministers, Edward Heath in 1974
- and James Callaghan in 1979. Thatcher changed all that. Starting in
- 1980 she pushed through legislation to limit picketing rights, ban
- secondary picketing and make national unions financially responsible
- for the actions of their members. She has taken on a number of the
- country's most powerful unions and crushed them: in 1985 after a
- bitter one-year strike, and the teachers last year. Partly as a
- result of Thatcher's efforts, union membership has fallen by one-
- quarter, to 9 million, and strikes are at a 50-year low. The number
- of workdays lost to labor disputes has declined from 29.5 million in
- 1979 to a mere 1.9 million last year. In her third term Thatcher
- plans legislation to further curb the power of the unions.
-
- The country's education system has slipped badly under Thatcher.
- Critics charged that spending has been cut 10% after inflation, and
- even her Minister for Information Technology, Geoffrey Pattie,
- complains that "schools are turning out dangerously high quotas of
- illiterate, delinquent unemployables." One Tory proposal is to take
- control of secondary and primary schools away from local councils,
- many of them Labor dominated, and give principals and school boards
- more power over their budgets.
-
- Britain's National Health Service also has deteriorated. With a
- staff of 1 million, the NHS will spend $33 billion this year, but its
- patient waiting lists are the longest in the European Community. As
- many as 700,000 people are waiting for surgery, some of them have
- been for years. Budget cuts have closed 20 hospitals in the London
- area alone. The government points out, however, that spending on the
- health service has actually increased 2 1/2 times in the past eight
- years. The government has already set aside $83 million for a two-
- year program to treat more than 100,000 patients waiting for
- operations.
-
- Under Thatcher the country has asserted itself more on the world
- stage than at any other time since the 1956 loss of the Suez Canal,
- and event widely regarded as the end of Britain's days as a major
- world power. She presided over the 1982 victory against Argentina in
- the Falklands war, and despite domestic opposition, pressed ahead
- with the modernization of Britain's aging Polaris nuclear submarine
- fleet, accepted U.S. cruise missiles on British soil and last year
- allowed U.S. F-111s to strike Libya from British air bases. Her
- visit to Moscow in April, during which she spent 13 hours in private
- with Mikhail Gorbachev, cemented her position as a world figure.
- British cartoonists have even taken to portraying her with a
- Churchillian cigar. She plans to visit Reagan in July, and it is
- likely that once again the discussion will center on negotiations for
- an intermediate-range nuclear forces agreement with the Soviets.
-
- Over the past eight years the British have learned to take seriously
- something Thatcher says about herself: "If you want someone weak,
- you don't want me." Indeed, she is often compared to a hectoring
- nanny. Although some voters hope her newly won third term will be
- her last hurrah, she insists that "I have no wish to retire for a
- very long time. I am still bursting with energy."
-
- The Prime Minister typically rises at 6, after only five hours'
- sleep, and breakfasts on black coffee and vitamin pills. She often
- fixes simple meals for herself and Husband Denis, 72, a retired
- businessman and avid golfer. Thatcher's own favorite recreation
- appears to be reading briefing papers. She has groomed no obvious
- successor among the Tories, and remarked early in the campaign that
- she might "go on and on," perhaps seeking a fourth term. "What would
- she do if she weren't Prime Minister?" asks Tory Chairman Tebbit.
- "One doesn't see her retiring to gardening or making marmalade." One
- does not.
-
- --By David Brand.
- Reported by Frank Melville/Leeds and Christopher Ogden/London